CCMC CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2026-06-04T21:24:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2026-06-04T21:24ZDONKI Link: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/46661/-1
CME Note: Faint CME observed to the W in SOHO LASCO C2, fading into background after several frames. The source is likely AR 14458, with field line movement and dimming starting around 2026-06-04T20:22Z in SDO AIA 193 centered around S07W23. Additional dimming centered ~S25E30 triggered shortly after the first eruption.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2026-06-08T00:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 4.0
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)
Prediction Method Note:
https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/46672/1 Model Inputs: 2026-06-04T21:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=23.0, Lat.=0.0, Speed=487.0, HalfAngle=10.0, Time21.5=2026-06-05T02:50Z Model Output: Earth Impact: Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2026-06-08T00:00Z (+- 7 hours) (kp)90=2 (kp)180=4 Other Location(s) Impact: OSIRIS-APEX with esitmated shock arrival time 2026-06-08T22:00Z Inner Planets Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260605_025000_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260605_025000_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif Inner Planets Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260605_025000_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260605_025000_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260605_025000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260605_025000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260605_025000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260605_025000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260605_025000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260605_025000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260605_025000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260605_025000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Juice_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260605_025000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260605_025000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260605_025000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260605_025000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_EuropaClippr_timeline.gifLead Time: 54.48 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Melissa Kane (M2M SWAO) on 2026-06-05T17:31Z
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